Re: Swine Flu
Earlier this month Health Secretary Andy Burnham said there could be 100,000 cases of swine flu every day by the end of August. Then in a move that caused alarm, Chief Medical Officer Sir Liam Donaldson told the NHS last week to prepare for up to 65,000 deaths this winter. But this figure was not meant as a prediction - merely to help the NHS prepare for a 'worst-case scenario'.
John Edmunds, a professor at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, said yesterday that it was too early to predict how many people might fall ill or die. He said: "About the only thing we know about these numbers is that they will be wrong." Other experts are predicting that the number of deaths is likely to be far less.
Professor John Oxford, Britain's top flu scientist, thinks the death toll could be as low as 6,000. This is the about the same number killed by normal seasonal flu each year.
Experts stress that, so far, swine flu has proved to be a mild virus in the vast majority of people. Prof Oxford had said it appears to be the 'mildest pandemic in recent history'.
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